Hurricane Forecasting

South Florida weather experts and members of congress are sounding the alarm over a proposed $2.2 billion dollar cut to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under President Trump's 2026 fiscal year budget.

The university’s models show slightly above-average activity with 16 named storms, eight reaching hurricane status and three becoming major storms.

A new study by USF researchers shows warmer, lighter fresh water flowing into the Gulf in the path of Idalia may have helped intensify it from Category 1 to 4 in one day.

ENSO neutral conditions are forecast through the summer, and warm tropical waters could produce more tropical systems than average this 2025 season.

On "The Florida Roundup," the former branch chief of the National Hurricane Center's Hurricane Specialist Unit described how cuts could lead to poorer forecasts and increased response needs.

This week on The Florida Roundup, we looked at how federal funding cuts and job losses could impact weather forecasting and hurricane preparedness in Florida and more.

Conference attendees heard from emergency management leaders across Florida and beyond.

The Trump administration is targeting top climate and weather labs for cuts. Insiders worry about the impact on research and NOAA's ability to forecast severe weather like hurricanes and tornadoes.

Warm temperatures, low winds, less Saharan dust and mid-level moisture will all help to form more storms, scientists at the Climate Adaptation Center said.

Fired researcher Andy Hazelton grew up in Plant City and Lakeland, and said working for NOAA had been a lifelong goal. While a new federal employee, he’d worked for NOAA for eight years.

Homes, cars and streets were flooded with rainwater for days — and even weeks — after Hurricane Milton, which overwhelmed stormwater systems.

It has been an unusually active final month for the hurricane season, when forecasters typically see a single named storm every year or two. And the 2024 season still has two weeks to go.