Hurricane Forecasting

This year, meteorologists have begun tapping into AI tools to construct their forecasts. Experts stress there are lots of cautions.

It's September — usually a busy month for tropical systems. The African monsoon is the factory of tropical waves, and the Atlantic Basin is all fair game.

Life-threatening rip currents and high surf are anticipated this week.

New research could help unravel mysteries of rapid intensification.

Tropical Storm Erin continues to gain strength and enters warmer ocean waters. The track looks to favor the Caribbean and the U.S.; there will still be indirect impacts.

The fifth named storm of the season has formed. Erin is forecast to become the first hurricane of the season by the end of the week, likely staying north of the Caribbean.

Don´t fall for the clickbait about a hurricane two weeks out over your location or near. Follow reliable sources.

Although the forecast decreased, it was only very slightly. There are still higher-than-average odds for this season to be active.

They're maintaining their forecast for a slightly above-average 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, citing an above-average tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea surface temperatures as a primary factor for their prediction of eight hurricanes this year.

Underwater currents in the Gulf should be monitored when a hurricane approaches Florida. A new study shows the current slowed just before Hurricane Ian turned into a monster Category 5 storm in 2022.

About a month after announcing that it would stop sharing data that hurricane forecasters and scientists rely on, the Navy now says it will continue distributing it.

On "Florida Matters," a meteorologist who led the National Weather Service's Tampa area forecasting office weighs in on a recent staffing exodus at the NWS.