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Democrats face an uphill battle in quest to wrest the seat held by Congressman Gus Bilirakis

Man speaking at a podium in front of a Donalds for Florida backdrop and bordered by the American flag on the left and the Florida flag on the right.
Steve Newborn
/
WUSF Public Media
Congressman Gus Bilirakis speaks at a Republican get-out-the-vote rally headlined by candidate for governor Byron Donalds on Aug. 12, 2026, in New Port Richey.

Democratic voters will go to the polls Tuesday to choose a challenger for longtime Republican Congressman Gus Bilirakis in November's general election.

The first fallout from the shakeup of Florida's Congressional districts will be felt during Tuesday's primaries. One of the more contested races is held by longtime Congressman Gus Bilirakis, whose Pasco-based district has been extended into Hillsborough County.

Bilirakis and his father, Michael, have represented Pasco County in Congress for 40 years - Michael for 20 and now Gus for 20. His name recognition is such that he has no primary opposition, and will automatically go the the November general election

The Democrats vying to oppose him on Tuesday's ballot are Darren McAuley, who serves in the Florida Air National Guard, and Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County Commissioner.

Additionally NPA candidate, 27-year-old Medicare case manager Branden Scrivener, faces the winner and Bilirakis in November.

Frank Orlando, a political science professor at St. Leo University in Pasco County, said it'll be a long road for the winning Democrat to take on longtime Congressman Bilirakis.

"It's still going to be an uphill climb on whoever wins that Democratic primary to unseat Gus," Orlando said. "He's got a pretty professional operation. He knows how to win there. He's represented all of that Pasco part and even some of the Hillsborough part in the pre-2020 map."

Orlando said the part of Hillsborough County that is now in District 12 is one of the most conservative parts of the county.

"Even under the new map, Gus Bilirakis, his new district, still voted for Trump by about 14 points in 2024," he said. "Yes, it's less Republican, but it's still a district that is a tough reach for either of the Democrats."

Map of the new Congressional district
Ballotpedia
Map of Congressional District 12

During an appearance Wednesday at a get-out-the-vote rally headlined by Byron Donalds in New Port Richey, Bilirakis acknowledged he needs to introduce himself to new voters this fall.

"They took me away from two red counties up north, as you know, Hernando and Citrus County, but thank God we kept Pasco County," he told the audience at St. George Greek Orthodox Church. "And now, I'll have quite a bit of Hillsborough County, so I have a lot of work to do, in introducing myself to those wonderful people as well. But Pasco is going to put us over the top."

On his website, Bilirakis describes his top issues as: "Lowering the cost of living; homeowners and flood insurance affordability; mental health and addiction; children's health and rare disease; public safety, school safety and the border, and supporting the Trump agenda."

Man standing above the cockpit of an aircraft
DarrenforFlorida.com
Darren McAuley

On his website, McAuley describes the three most pressing problems to be economic security, affordable healthcare, and ensuring safety in Central Florida.

He served as a physician at the Veterans Health Administration and now serves as Florida’s State Air Surgeon, approving service members’ healthcare coverage and overseeing the Air National Guard’s medical response during disasters.

Woman with arms folded smiling for the cameral
KimberlyOverman.com
Kimberly Overman

Overman is a certified financial planner and served as a Hillsborough County Commissioner from 2018 to 2022.

In WUSF's 2026 Voter Guide, Overman said "The biggest challenges facing our district are affordability, healthcare access, and government accountability. Families are struggling with rising housing, insurance, and utility costs. Healthcare is becoming less affordable and harder to access. Congress must lower costs, increase housing supply, protect healthcare access, and restore trust through transparency, fiscal responsibility, and problem-solving that puts people ahead of politics."

The other candidate who will come before voters in November is Branden Scrivener, who is not affiliated with any political party.

Orlando said Overman probably has more name recognition in the race.

I cover Florida’s unending series of issues with the environment and politics in the Tampa Bay area.
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